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A Double Win for Ashesi at CFA Research Challenge Ghana

Two Ashesi student teams, Sigma Capital Partners and Alpha Capital Partners, have placed first and second, respectively, at the 2026 CFA Institute Research Challenge (Ghana). The competition required participating teams to conduct a comprehensive valuation of the MTN Group. 

Sigma Capital Partners, comprising Moro Sulleyman ’26, Gift Quaye ’26, Tadiwanashe Chamisa ’27, Francis Acquah ’27, and Raymond Appiah ’27, began their work with in-depth company and industry analysis. They examined MTN’s revenue streams, competitive forces, macroeconomic risks, and long-term growth prospects. 

Their analysis revealed that while MTN’s traditional voice revenue has been declining, its FinTech segment has experienced notable growth. However, the team found insufficient evidence to conclude that FinTech growth would fully offset the near-term decline in voice revenue. They also assessed industry competition and identified potential disruption from new telecommunications entrants such as Starlink, particularly in internet data provision, one of MTN’s major revenue drivers. 

Using valuation methodologies including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), which projects future cash flows and adjusts them to present value, and Comparable Company Analysis, which benchmarks a firm against similar telecommunications companies across Africa, Sigma Capital recommended a “Hold.” This meant existing shareholders were advised not to sell their shares immediately, as the team anticipated modest share price appreciation. 

“Different teams can arrive at different valuations, but what sets you apart is how clearly and confidently you can defend your assumptions,” said Moro Sulleyman ’26, Team Lead. 

Team Alpha Capital, comprising of Mitchell Woanya ’26, Kwasi Appiah’27, Zion Thannie’26, Johnson Maturo’27 and Jessie Agbozo’26 observed that Nigeria contributed significantly to the Group’s revenue; As a result, the depreciation of the Nigerian Naira in 2024 led to a dip in reported revenue, as currency losses affected overall performance when Naira earnings were converted to the South African Rand. 

Despite this setback, the team projected strong growth for the group from 2025 to 2029. Their projections were based on population growth across MTN’s markets, rising mobile money adoption, expected increases in market share, and the company’s cost-cutting efforts under its expense efficiency program. 

For their valuation, Team Alpha applied multiple methods, including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), the Dividend Discount Model (DDM), and the Sum of the Parts (SoTP). The SoTP approach involved breaking the Group into its individual business segments, valuing each separately, and then combining them to determine the company’s total value. The DDM, on the other hand, focused on the dividends paid to shareholders. After applying appropriate weightings to their models, the team concluded that MTN’s shares were undervalued. With the share trading at approximately 176 rand at the time of valuation, they estimated its fair value at 230.5 rand. Based on this projected increase, the team advised investors to purchase MTN shares. 

“The teams approached every activity as a shared responsibility,” Dr. Anthony Essel-Anderson, Faculty Advisor, emphasized. “Listening to one another and refining their approaches together strengthened the depth and accuracy of their analysis, which ultimately contributed to this win,” he added. 

The competition, organized by the CFA Institute, aims to provide university students with hands-on mentoring and training in financial analysis and professional ethics. Following their win, Team Sigma Capital will represent Ghana at the Sub-Saharan Africa Regional Competition scheduled for May this year.

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